In case you didn't know it, this blogger is an Oscar freak. This year's list of nominees was announced a few hours ago and as expected, Brokeback Mountain ended up with the most nominations. What does this mean? It will most likely win the Oscar for Best Picture. There are, of course, a few movies that won the Best Picture award even though they did not have the most number of nominations (The Silence of the Lambs comes to mind), but they are very rare.
Something else worth noting is that the nominations for Best Picture match those for Best Director perfectly. This is not as common as you may think. All members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences are allowed to vote for nominees for Best Picture, while only members of the directors branch can nominate for the Best Director category. So in this case, if you're looking for a Best Picture nomination for Walk the Line, it's hard to make a case for its inclusion.
Finally, just a few disclaimers: I have not seen any of the nominated movies in any of the categories except for Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire and Batman Begins (so sue me!). And no, I don't need to see all the nominated movies to make predictions because the Oscars are not purely about quality; there's also a lot of sentiment involved... and campaigning, of course. So if you're an Oscar freak like me, know your Oscar history and have a reasonable idea of how the campaigns are going, you can make all the predictions you want.
Incidentally, anyone can make predictions =)
Category: Books and Movies
Notes on the Oscar Nominations
